Let me first start by saying last weekend at the Loaf was epic.
It was only a few shorts weeks ago it looked like we might be entering an early spring. I cautioned it was unlikely to continue and the long range signals were encouraging to snow lovers.
UPDATE (March 13): Although skeptical at first, I tested this storm on all sides...track, mid level temperatures, dynamics and at this point it has passed with flying colors. The Result: Gonna be a biggie.
The good news and the bad news are kind of the same thing this weekend: Good news- It's gonna be really cold...perfect for snowmaking. Bad news- It's gonna be really cold.
Advising you as to the conditions at Sugarloaf right now feels a bit like being Tom Brady's agent: I don't mind spelling it out for you, but the greatness is pretty apparent.
Just a quick update today because things just got REAL in the weather office. Long story short, we have 3 events to talk about in the next week, with the definite possibility of 4. Keep in mind this is all in 7 days.
I mentioned during my last post that the computer models have been too aggressive trying to change snow to rain on these "inside runner" storms, and that our next system would likely trend colder over time.
Well, that's how it went down.
First of all thanks to Noelle for pinch hitting for me on the blog last week. I was busy in Hawaii more or less becoming a professional surfer. Now that I'm back to weather nerd/skier mode, I see a decent pattern for the next 5-7 days.
While Keith enjoys some well-deserved rest and relaxation this week, Noelle Tuttle takes a crack at forecasting the incoming storm.
I told you last week that we would be in an unusually above average temperature pattern for the next 5 to 7 days.
My elementary school teacher used to preach the whole "If you don't have anything nice to say, don't say anything at all" thing. In that spirit, I'll keep today's blog brief.
Last time I talked to you we were bracing for what I promised would be a crushing snow dump. Well, it was crush-tas-tic if I do say so myself.
I can't remember a time when a computer model locked into a storm like the EURO did on this one. It had this storm pegged since Dec 22nd and did not waiver one little bit.
Overall, the first half of December was fully loaded winter style...especially when compared to last year.
Mainers take pride in how little cold bothers them. 10 F? Psh, they put their newborns out in it so they can learn to walk. 5 F? Fine, they'll put on a Patriots sweatshirt.
Everything is on track from the previous forecast with this being a light to moderate event.
From a raw cold standpoint the next two weeks will feel more like winter than the entire 2015-16 season.
All things considered, The Loaf did pretty well with these last two storms.
I told you in last week's blog that I liked the troughy signals coming out of the mid range pattern.
This time of the year, we aren't looking to nail down specific Nor'easter snowfall totals, instead we are looking for broad brush signs of winter.
Ladies and gentlemen welcome your 2016-2017 ski season. I'm Keith Carson and for those of you that don't know me...good for you, you probably have some semblance of social life.